Vogi Stocks

Watching this market bubble form has been a rollercoaster. Balancing a risk off approach with AI and trend following has been extremely volatile. Traditional hedges are shifting and atypical asset classes are performing typically such as precious metals and crypto.

One major trend we noticed at the start of this bubble is particularly laser, optics, photonics, memory storage, high-speed networking, optical cables and such companies have seen the largest gains. It’s important to note that many of these companies are extremely volatile and now have P/E ratios from 50 to over 100 indicating investors are extremely optimistic.

While these technologies fall under the broader scope of the entire AI industry, we can further narrow down the group of outperformers as specifically tailored towards edge AI. I want to also note that given our research into quantum technologies earlier last year, we mentioned that these kinds of companies are the necessary…

In the lead‑up to Jerome Powell’s final speech as Fed Chair this morning, markets were uncertain and trending lower. However, his remarks signaled that the current cycle of rate cuts will continue, sparking sharp moves across assets closely tied to monetary policy decisions such as the 10 year rate, gold, the US dollar index, the S&P 500 and Bitcoin.

Trump is allowing chips to go to China. Coherent, a laser and optics company, announced they sold its aerospace and defense business during their earnings report yesterday and the stock tanked. Teledyne is another defense company working on vision and optics for defense and they're stock recently took a hit as well.

From our blog about future AI scenarios, we laid out multiple ways AI would be built out over time. It seems the scenario where militarization and stunting of adversary AI development is being dismantled in front of our eyes in real time. This narrows the possibilities of future AI scenarios and provides us an idea of how to adjust.

Check out blog to get a grasp of this framework: https://www.vogigroup.com/post/most-probable-ai-scenarios-investors-should-prepare-for

After Apple announced 40% of their iPhones would be manufactured in India, 50% tariffs were placed India for buying Russian oil followed by 100% tariffs on foreign made chips. Apple was faced with additional 25% tariffs when selling foreign made iPhones into the US as part of trumps strategic moves to restore manufacturing power, ultimately forcing Apple to spend 600 billion on US manufacturing. The wave of companies mentioned in this announcement were COHR AMAT GFS GLW AMKR AVGO & TXN.

We think we’re in a wartime economy and have been seeing amazing returns as a result. Check out our latest blogs about technological determinism and the probable future outcomes of AI to understand why we think that and how we’re positioned.

The second space race is on. NASA recently said they’re fast racking plans to build nuclear reactors on the moon by 2030. This comes after a year of multiple humanless moon landings, geopolitical tensions, golden dome talks and solving the energy crisis.

Today, Disney beat earnings. I was a Disney plus subscriber up until yesterday and it wasn’t by design. I got charged 8.99 instead of 2.50 for the first time in 6 months last week and when I tried to cancel my subscription, I received an error code each time. Finally I went into the painstaking live chat and got my subscription cancelled and refunded but had me…

Predicting a wartime economy until at least 2026 looking at companies in ag, semis, energy, optical electronics, aerospace, advanced healthcare research/ biotech, advanced materials, energy/mineral commodities, water, waste, infrastructure, specialty industrial chemicals

As long as the US 10 yr and expectations for rate cuts remain, the market will go up becuase TINA. There are obviously risks of volatility events occurring along the way and they should be seen as buying opportunities generally speaking. Watch out for bifurcation, sector rotations and general trends.

Found this interesting: https://www.tradingview.com/news/DJN_SN20250731004098:0/

AB InBev reported earnings and stock went down its most since Covid. The ceo was saying that young people from Covid are going out less than previous generations and ages 21-23 saw less demand, but once they aged past this range demand normalized. He also said demand is normalizing compared to pre Covid levels despite changes to social behaviour. He mentioned sales in china and Brazil were down more than expected, which is likely indicative of a larger trend between these countries’ trade. There’s massive demand for non-alcoholic versions of originally alcoholic beverages up 33%. The ceo said this was from non-alcoholic beverages improving in taste, but over the last 2-3 years we’ve been noticing a strong trend towards non-alcoholic versions of beer and wine indicating consumer demand is the driving force behind the improvements in this growing trend.

Typically these companies are safer during uncertainty…

Europes been doing well but is this the start of a new European stocks trend? This is big for European companies in ai and things related. I think trump is forcing allies to build out ai capabilities because China vs USA ai innovation is neck and neck and we need allied help. It’s similar to the internet where USA developed it first then shared it with the rest of the world and only then realized internets true value and ended up dominating. Our ai stocks are at all time highs indicating we have that dominance and are now striking deals by aug 1 tariffs deadline to share IP and software weights for training ai, they just need to build out the infrastructure to handle the ai. With that, European construction, energy/utility companies, water management companies , mining and materials , what else would benefit?

On Wednesday Jerome will make a rate announcement. Gemeni just told me the market forces are betting a 95 percent chance the fed keeps rates as they are. In the worst case scenario he hints at something that indicates there may be future rate hikes market would crash and insurance companies could be SAFE.

Market is at all time highs🎉

July Opex is tomorrow. If a lot of people are short still we could see that pressure getting lifted tomorrow with the effects of it showing in markets on Monday. Supposedly markets at new highs keep going because there’s no resistance so we’re about to see how true this is.

We’re just going to be cautious of the ten year rate, but so far have been seeing a bullish narrative on tv and social media so just going to go with the flow and try to spot opportunities where they show themselves. With random stocks squeezing just remember to not chase the hype, and if youre not early then you’re late.

Starting with Opendoor technologies then came Kohl’s. We saw others like ocean power technologies and Kirkland’s. Starting yesterday and mostly today we got Krispy Kreme and GoPro.

It’s not just the meme stocks though. Some other names are also experiencing minor squeezes from earnings like Thermo fisher and Lamb Weston.

Reason: hedge funds were buying cheap puts as SP500 hit all time highs. Rate cuts are expected, or at least a positive announcement about them in August/September fueling expectations for cheap debt borrowing by companies that have lots of it. These are mostly penny stocks or dying companies that have a lot of short interest. All this together, retail traders are looking for these heavily shorted companies with a good well known name and/or strong narrative to attempt a squeeze.

This environment gives the most control to retail traders out of any envirinment in the stock market. Therefore, while Reddit…

Gold is rallying higher after the weekend mostly because the dollar and US 10 year are dropping. Our technical analysis of the chart didn’t play out exactly as planned, which perfectly illustrates and reminds us how it’s super dynamic and won’t provide any value unless we’re willing to be just as fluid with changing our views on reading a particular chart. Can see earlier there was a similar pattern and it found support at the same level as that pattern did as well.

Feeling grateful for this chart because it also gave another lesson about never relying on chart patterns alone without considering other factors such as market indicators, sentiment, news, and narrative.

Our blog on technical analysis covers all you need to know on reading charts.

There’s a health trend entering food industry with RFK and most people now realizing chemicals are bad to eat.

At a time when markets are at all time highs and several indicators are starting to give warning signs, we’re going to be watching food stocks (consumer staples sector)

Big moves have been occurring in the space. There’s Ferrero buying Kellog and Kraft Heinz splitting off. Lamb Weston has been under pressure for over a year now and has had buyout rumours surrounding its name for a while. Pepsi beat earnings today so sentiment in the space is looking bullish.

Accessibility and advancement of the technological tools for individual users to create quality content has led to the recent rise of podcast shows (among many other forms of high quality content online). For the first time in history, these tools let anybody produce professional level content without needing a large team,…